I actually have a bet with a radiologist that AI will be as good or better than radiologists at reading images in a fairly near future.
The reason I think this (as a non-specialist) is this: when I upload a random photo to Google or Facebook, those systems recognize the faces of people in those pictures without any prompt. This seems like a much more constrained problem (given a pretty specific set of images of chest cavities, state the probability of a cancerous tumor.)
I am guessing that there's nothing inherent in this problem that is much more difficult than other image recognition problems. I suspect that this outcome is because we have fairly new technology competing against highly specialized humans doing a very specific task and doing it well.
I suspect that will happen is that the technology will relatively quickly catch up to humans and do equally well, after which point it's just a speed of response and economics question, where the technology wins over the person.
The reason I think this (as a non-specialist) is this: when I upload a random photo to Google or Facebook, those systems recognize the faces of people in those pictures without any prompt. This seems like a much more constrained problem (given a pretty specific set of images of chest cavities, state the probability of a cancerous tumor.)
I am guessing that there's nothing inherent in this problem that is much more difficult than other image recognition problems. I suspect that this outcome is because we have fairly new technology competing against highly specialized humans doing a very specific task and doing it well.
I suspect that will happen is that the technology will relatively quickly catch up to humans and do equally well, after which point it's just a speed of response and economics question, where the technology wins over the person.