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Comment by throw0101a

No. And neither do people who have to deal with billions of dollars worth of US bonds, given that 10Y Treasury inflation expectations have peaked and are currently going down:

* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE

The Market™ (currently) thinks this is transitory. See also 5Y:

* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIE

Of course the economy is dynamic, so we'll see what happens when things continue to open up as people get vaccinated. Things may have to be slowed down: but a 'too hot' economy is a nice problem to have, versus the alternative of a too slow one where there's lots of people that are unemployed.

Pre-pandemic the US unemployment rate was at 3.5%; it's currently at 5.8%:

* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

I wouldn't be surprised that the desire is to get that lower before considering applying the brakes.

parent throw0101a 5 years ago

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