You have people born in the 90s hospitalized in Norway now. Many experience long term physical and cognitive effects. And as long as we're assuming everyone goes unvaccinated, the chance of contracting COVID goes towards 1 over time, while the R-number explodes as we open up society to avoid economic ruin. Not a good scenario IMO.
As I said, the relevant comparison in the real world is versus waiting for another vaccine, where it the choice is much less obvious, and dependent on the disease level in the population.
You have people born in the 90s hospitalized in Norway now. Many experience long term physical and cognitive effects. And as long as we're assuming everyone goes unvaccinated, the chance of contracting COVID goes towards 1 over time, while the R-number explodes as we open up society to avoid economic ruin. Not a good scenario IMO.
As I said, the relevant comparison in the real world is versus waiting for another vaccine, where it the choice is much less obvious, and dependent on the disease level in the population.