> So if I just assign the majority label to all of the population of a given demographics group, I would get the same result right? i.e., predicting "left" for all minorities under 30. You would also get ~70% accuracy.
I meant that even if you control age, gender, ethnicity, a very trivial predictor (i.e., always predicting the majority label) could yield similar performance. What I meant to say was that their model may not perform as well as they made it sound.
> So if I just assign the majority label to all of the population of a given demographics group, I would get the same result right? i.e., predicting "left" for all minorities under 30. You would also get ~70% accuracy.
I meant that even if you control age, gender, ethnicity, a very trivial predictor (i.e., always predicting the majority label) could yield similar performance. What I meant to say was that their model may not perform as well as they made it sound.