nobody's autopilot will achieve full autonomy in the near future. Full autonomy actually meaning, you could rip the steering wheel out of the car and have it drive through any city you wish instead of "it drives through grid streets in American suburbs correctly like, 95% of the time"
The entire current approach has no correctness guarantees, ML systems are horrible at dealing with tail-risk, there's a human communication element to driving and so on. It's a ridiculously hard problem, honestly AGI hard.
I much more suspect that before we get autonomous driving we'll get more 'rail like' street systems, geofencing etc.. that limit how drivers and cars can behave, that's kind of how the whole hyperloop thing works ironically enough. Obviously if we wanted that we could just build better metro systems to begin with which already drive themselves.
The entire current approach has no correctness guarantees, ML systems are horrible at dealing with tail-risk, there's a human communication element to driving and so on. It's a ridiculously hard problem, honestly AGI hard.
I much more suspect that before we get autonomous driving we'll get more 'rail like' street systems, geofencing etc.. that limit how drivers and cars can behave, that's kind of how the whole hyperloop thing works ironically enough. Obviously if we wanted that we could just build better metro systems to begin with which already drive themselves.