On the data nerd side I continue to be shocked at how people misinterpret the certainty of polls/forecasts. Forecasts give us probability distributions based on historical polling error data. Not infallible predictions the expected value will 100% happen.
It’s fairly revealing of society’s general innumeracy, just as it was 4 years ago when Trump won.
It’s fairly revealing of society’s general innumeracy, just as it was 4 years ago when Trump won.