Imagine there are 1,000 doors and you pick 1. All other doors except 1 are opened and you're given the offer: keep the door you picked, or pick this other door. What are the chances you picked the right door (vs. this other door)?
People seem to intuitively understand that having only one door unopened is a massive "hint" to where the prize is.
Imagine there are 1,000 doors and you pick 1. All other doors except 1 are opened and you're given the offer: keep the door you picked, or pick this other door. What are the chances you picked the right door (vs. this other door)?
People seem to intuitively understand that having only one door unopened is a massive "hint" to where the prize is.
(I learned this idea from Better Explained: https://betterexplained.com/articles/understanding-the-monty...)