(Author here.) I completely agree on the cognitive dissonance of whether lockdown was the right move. I don’t even think it’s just politicians, but also people. Everyone has invested so much in it, that the idea that it actually caused net harm may be too much for people to bear. Norway’s health chief admitted it was a mistake, but is the only example of that I’ve seen so far.
I also agree that it jives with Levitt’s work, as well as Karl Friston, and I like they kind of all get to the same place via different techniques.
I also agree that it jives with Levitt’s work, as well as Karl Friston, and I like they kind of all get to the same place via different techniques.
The most prescient, and overlooked researcher on this currently is Sunetra Gupta of Oxford. This interview with her is over a month old, and she talks about a lot of this stuff: https://unherd.com/2020/05/oxford-doubles-down-sunetra-gupta...