The article is about forecasting not estimation. That's the point. Don't estimate. Measure.
It usually goes without saying that most forecasts do not include provisions for black swan events. It's generally assumed that going bankrupt or other project externalities will have an impact on the delivery.
It usually goes without saying that most forecasts do not include provisions for black swan events. It's generally assumed that going bankrupt or other project externalities will have an impact on the delivery.