Comment by ptero

Good points, but we still do not know how the second wave will look like in the countries that had quarantine (or in Sweden). We should revisit in a year. And there are other factors -- I personally know people whose cancer treatments were pushed out "because COVID" (for 1 and 2 months so far and counting). It is hard to quantify such things as there is no significant statistics, but lockdowns contribute to deaths, too.