Look at the "Deaths incidence" tab of the graphs at the bottom to see actual deaths with the curve-fit model.
EDIT: Meant to include in my initial "highlights" comment:
Estimated "peak" daily infections was 23 March, with 500k infections. Estimate for daily infections as of 10 May closer to 10k; estimated country-wide Rt at 0.75, still well below 1.
Bonus highlights: Method seems to be from this 2009 paper, "Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London":
Not equipped to evaluate their method, really; but if it's reasonably accurate, then the UK is not currently really headed towards "natural herd immunity".
Death rate for under-45 is under 0.024%
Look at the "Deaths incidence" tab of the graphs at the bottom to see actual deaths with the curve-fit model.
EDIT: Meant to include in my initial "highlights" comment:
Estimated "peak" daily infections was 23 March, with 500k infections. Estimate for daily infections as of 10 May closer to 10k; estimated country-wide Rt at 0.75, still well below 1.
Bonus highlights: Method seems to be from this 2009 paper, "Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London":
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3215054/
Not equipped to evaluate their method, really; but if it's reasonably accurate, then the UK is not currently really headed towards "natural herd immunity".