> In his press conference today, Governor Cuomo revealed the preliminary results of a first-phase antibody test that surveyed 3,000 New Yorkers over two days in 19 counties at 40 locations that included grocery and big-box stores. The sample suggests that 13.9% of New York State residents have the antibodies, meaning they had the virus at one point and recovered. Of the regions tested–Long Island, NYC, Westchester/Rockland, and the rest of the State–New York City had the highest positive rate at 21.2%. The potential good news to come to light is that the death rate may be far lower than some estimates, at 0.5%.
This still is not a random sampling. It only samples from shoppers at grocery stores and big-box retailers. Imagine doing the same study, but of people who ordered groceries online only. Would you expect to see big differences in exposure rate? I think so.
The study itself isn't linked anywhere, nor have I seen it elsewhere. Science is all about the details. It's not hard to imagine half a dozen ways that the bottom line result of this study could have been skewed by decisions made by the study authors and ground team.
This still is not a random sampling. It only samples from shoppers at grocery stores and big-box retailers. Imagine doing the same study, but of people who ordered groceries online only. Would you expect to see big differences in exposure rate? I think so.
The study itself isn't linked anywhere, nor have I seen it elsewhere. Science is all about the details. It's not hard to imagine half a dozen ways that the bottom line result of this study could have been skewed by decisions made by the study authors and ground team.