In part because all the headline numbers we've seen are CFR numbers which suffer from huge adverse selection bias -- and aren't directly comparable between regions for a lot of reasons.
As I've mentioned before, using CFR to determine fatality rate of the disease is like trying to determine the fatality rate of skydiving by measuring the ratio of people who go to hospital with skydiving injuries over those who recover. Obviously you'd think skydiving kills basically everyone who does it, but it just doesn't.
It's starting to become clear that the infection fatality rate of COVID is in the lower quartile of the range 0.25-1%.
And yeah, a huge portion of New York likely has it. It's super contagious.
As I've mentioned before, using CFR to determine fatality rate of the disease is like trying to determine the fatality rate of skydiving by measuring the ratio of people who go to hospital with skydiving injuries over those who recover. Obviously you'd think skydiving kills basically everyone who does it, but it just doesn't.
It's starting to become clear that the infection fatality rate of COVID is in the lower quartile of the range 0.25-1%.
And yeah, a huge portion of New York likely has it. It's super contagious.