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Comment by mikekij

Tl;dr: It looks like ~4.2% of Los Angeles residents may have already been affected.

Current stats from [https://covid-19.direct/county/CA/Los%20Angeles]: Confirmed cases: 12,349 Deaths: 601 Population: 4M Implied fatality rate: 4.87%

If this study is correct (~4.2% prevalence): Cases: 167,580 Deaths: 601 Implied fatality rate: 0.36%

There is massive difference between the appropriate response to an illness with a 5% fatality rate and an illness with a 0.36% fatality rate.

parent mikekij 6 years ago

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