Comment

Comment by anotheryou

We can roughly estimate how long that will take if we stay at R=1. That's maybe 100k new infections monthly in germany. Meaning it takes ~40 years to reach 60%. (83000k*0.6/100k/12)

Maybe it's less if you can get more aggressive with more immunity, but even if I'm wrong by a factor of 10 it's still years and the vaccine is the more realistic bet.

parent anotheryou 6 years ago

Discussion

Live from the official Hacker News API

A modern reader for Hacker News · SvelteKit + Skeleton