This entire plan is based on models that do not align with what we are seeing. The graph on slide two[1] of the official CA govt plan shows hospitalizations With Intervention rising exponentially, exceeding our hospital capacity in early June. The actual new infection data shows that the rate of new infections has been decreasing since at least 4/4 [2], meaning that the graph of active hospitalizations should be a bell curve with a maximum value of ~10,000 on ~4/20.
The mismatch between their models and the observed data does not engender confidence.
The mismatch between their models and the observed data does not engender confidence.
[1] https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/California...
[2] https://covid-19.direct/state/CA