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Comment by the_crocodile

Tomas Pueyo published an article: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-peop...

He wrote a model that roughly estimates infection rates in a population based on either deaths or confirmed cases: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/1/d/17YyCmjb2Z2QwMiRR...

The model is oriented around companies, but could be applied to any gathering of people. There may be more sophisticated or accurate models out there, but I found his relatively quick to understand and apply.

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