CDC estimates that 24k - 62k die every year from the flu.
Fauci estimated 100k - 200k will die from covid-19.
So that would be 2-8x on the extremes. But 2x would be the low end estimate assuming a bad flu season and a low end number for the death rate on covid-19.
Hospitals are optimized for typical illness, not for pandemics. And the death rate has been calculated based upon cases that get adequate health care -- an assumption that goes away when the hospitals have to choose who lives and who dies.
Fauci estimated 100k - 200k will die from covid-19.
So that would be 2-8x on the extremes. But 2x would be the low end estimate assuming a bad flu season and a low end number for the death rate on covid-19.
Hospitals are optimized for typical illness, not for pandemics. And the death rate has been calculated based upon cases that get adequate health care -- an assumption that goes away when the hospitals have to choose who lives and who dies.