Then how does that square with the data from the west, which broadly confirms the CFR China reported originally? Why are Italians dying like flies to this thing the Chinese were able to hide?
This "The CFR is much lower!" thing is rapidly becoming a conspiracy-level fallacy... It's probably true that there are a bunch of unmeasured cases (a reasonable study yesterday guessed at a 6x undercount) and that the CFR is currently overstated because of sampling problems with test availability.
It is absolutely not possible that there were a million cases in Hubei in december. Not from this disease. Come on, folks.
This "The CFR is much lower!" thing is rapidly becoming a conspiracy-level fallacy... It's probably true that there are a bunch of unmeasured cases (a reasonable study yesterday guessed at a 6x undercount) and that the CFR is currently overstated because of sampling problems with test availability.
It is absolutely not possible that there were a million cases in Hubei in december. Not from this disease. Come on, folks.