I've also found myself musing on a similar question, but one where you may have a different temporal perspective at this particular moment: In six months, are we going to collectively believe that the Coronavirus was nothing and we massively overreacted to it? Because if we do react strongly, and it does largely contain the virus, that will also be "proof" (quote-unquote) that it wasn't anything we needed to be so proactive about in the first place.
Unsurprisingly, humans are not good at accounting for black swan events, and even less so for averted ones.
Unsurprisingly, humans are not good at accounting for black swan events, and even less so for averted ones.