Not 50%, you misunderstand me. I edited my comment to clarify. What I meant is out of those who came out of the hospital (either dead or recovered), 26% died. So those remaining in the hospital are assumed to have a 26% chance of dying.
Another way of looking at probabilities, out of the 57 patients left in the hospital:
If 0 die (ie. all recover), the CFR is 11% (11 deads, 88 recovered)
If 15 die (26% of 57 still hospitalized), the CFR is 26% (11+15=26 deads, 73 recovered)
If 57 die, the CFR is 69% (11+57=68 deads, 31 recovered)
So the CFR bounds are 11-69% and if the trend on remaining patients continue it should be 26%.
Another way of looking at probabilities, out of the 57 patients left in the hospital:
If 0 die (ie. all recover), the CFR is 11% (11 deads, 88 recovered)
If 15 die (26% of 57 still hospitalized), the CFR is 26% (11+15=26 deads, 73 recovered)
If 57 die, the CFR is 69% (11+57=68 deads, 31 recovered)
So the CFR bounds are 11-69% and if the trend on remaining patients continue it should be 26%.