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Comment by IkmoIkmo

> 6% growth would be the envy of many countries. For comparison, the last time the US did that was 1984

No, not exactly. It has to be contextualised. Growing 2% if you're already rich is fine. It's essentially a promise they'll stay rich, and get ever so slightly richer. But 2% growth for someone who earns next to nothing, is basically a promise that they'll be poor forever.

So let's compare the US in 1984 when it last had China's growth, and China today when it last had... China's growth.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/maddison-data-gdp-per-cap...

In 1984, US (inflation-adjusted, 2011 dollars) had a GDP per capita of $32k. China today is at $12k.

6% might be okay for the US. But for the almost 1.4 billion Chinese (who live on an income distribution, i.e. almost 700 million people living on less than that $12k, and hundreds of millions on quite very little), 6% may not be the promise they'll accept from their government for long.

Not saying it's low-growth, but you can't just compare it to rich countries. The standard is very different, and China will be anxious to crank it back up.

parent IkmoIkmo 7 years ago

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