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Comment by whatshisface

This tariff situation is quickly becoming an amazing opportunity for developing countries. The labor shortages being talked about can only be resolved through higher wages, which means that the people at the bottom will get a cut of the new money. In the end the world will be a lot richer and the money will be in the hands of relatively livable countries like Vietnam. (The Vietnamese government is actually pretty good in terms of freedoms.)

It's also politically preferable for the US to depend on a hundred small countries instead of one big competitor. It may also help cushion the next global recession, as each of these international markets will be less correlated with each other than one company in China is with another company in China.

Chinese companies are very tightly integrated with the government's balance sheets, meaning that you can't diversify within China. If one company goes under that means the subsidies ran out, and that means all the other subsidies are running out, which means the economy is toast.

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