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Comment by tschwimmer

A lot of Sillicon Valley startup fundraising ends up resembling an iterated prisoner's dilemma. Most startups fail and it's likely that you might have to work with people a few times before you get it right. The [generally] dominant strategy for Iterated Prisoner's dilemma is tit for tat[0], and consequently you see a lot of people cooperating when when it might be more lucrative to defect is because they know that they might want to work together again. Basically, neither side wants to burn the bridge.

This guy seems to have reasoned that for him, it was more optimal to defect, and it seems to have worked out. TopTal succeeded and he didn't raise any more money. His reputation with VCs is torched, but he doesn't need to raise any more money. If TopTal had failed, it really wouldn't have mattered because he wouldn't have needed to raise any more either.

You have to wonder if VC will eventually become a market for lemons[1] as founders who know they have a big opportunity only offer investors unfavorable terms. Obviously no startup is a 'sure thing' but it does seem like founders increasingly have a lot more information than their investors.

[0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tit_for_tat

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Market_for_Lemons

parent tschwimmer 7 years ago

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