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Comment by maximente

to feel better or to perform better?

feeling better: 100% cash. let the feeling of safety wash over you as the market continues to climb while you bathe in risk-free dollars (that are always depreciating due to Fed policy, but whatever). eventually, use your expertise in market timing to identify the hour the market bottoms out; scoop up assets at bargain levels.

perform better: stay in the market, knowing that there are many more recessions ahead of you, that you can't time the market, and that time in market is by far the best predictor of long term performance. understand that if you aren't retiring soon, recessions are sort of like sales: the same companies still produce the same assets (Apple still makes hardware, ...), they're just valued less due to silly emotions.

of course, if you're retiring soon or don't have outside income you may want to get out of stocks and into bonds, depending on your appetite for risk.

parent maximente 7 years ago

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