^^^This guy/gal gets it. The 10-2 treasury yield spread is currently at 0.16 and has been steadily falling since the beginning of 2014. Since the 1950s, every time the 10-2 spread dipped below zero, a recession followed within two years.[1]
The Fed just announced another rate hike less than an hour ago and have indicated that there will be two more rate hikes in 2019.[2] As the federal funds rate continues to rise, the yield curve will continue to flatten.
^^^This guy/gal gets it. The 10-2 treasury yield spread is currently at 0.16 and has been steadily falling since the beginning of 2014. Since the 1950s, every time the 10-2 spread dipped below zero, a recession followed within two years.[1]
The Fed just announced another rate hike less than an hour ago and have indicated that there will be two more rate hikes in 2019.[2] As the federal funds rate continues to rise, the yield curve will continue to flatten.
[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/preview-feds-last-monetary-po...