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Comment by yichijin

Hi, Jimmy from Optimizely here. The practice you describe is actually perfectly fine, so long as you're not using a method designed to be checked at a single point in time.

Take a look at clinical trials. Often in clinical trials there are multiple phases, where early stopping is desirable in case the drug has higher-than-expected efficacy (or more-harmful-than-expected side effects).

The type of test conducted in clinical trials explicitly allow for multiple looks while maintaining correct control of the Type 1 error rate. At Optimizely we essentially have a version of this where the monitoring can be conducted contiuously with rigorous control of Type 1 error.

Check out this paper for more details: http://www.kdd.org/kdd2017/papers/view/peeking-at-ab-tests-w...

parent yichijin 8 years ago

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