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Comment by rweba

One of the best books I read last year was "The Halo effect"

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B000NY128M/

It talks about exactly this issue: If company A is successful, we explain it by saying that the management is absolutely brilliant, if company B does the exact same things but is failing, we explain it by saying that management are totally incompetent.

It's a major cognitive bias which renders most "business press" articles totally worthless.

The solution, obviously, is to gather a large amount of data and do some rigorous analysis.

People have tried to do this but the general conclusion is that there are no real simple rules that a business can follow to always succeed despite our eager desire for simple explanations.

parent rweba 8 years ago

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