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Comment by dzdt

This isn't an "algorithm" the way people here are thinking. It is a risk formula. The thing it does is standardize which risk factors have been shown to be important. The inputs are:

  Age at current arrest 
  Current violent offense  
  Current violent offense & 20 years old or younger 
  Pending charge at the time of the offense 
  Prior misdemeanor conviction 
  Prior felony conviction 
  Prior conviction (misdemeanor or felony) 
  Prior violent conviction 
  Prior failure to appear in the past two years 
  Prior failure to appear older than two years 
  Prior sentence to incarceration
Each input is given a simple 0-2 integer importance weighting. Scores are summed, then rescaled by a translation table.

Outputs are a 1-6 "fail to appear" risk score, a 1-6 "new criminal activity" risk score, and a yes/no "new violent criminal activity" risk flag.

What to do with the scores (and any other factors to consider) is still left up to the judge. The advantage is in translating "does this defendent have a record?" into a numerical risk score in an evidence-based way.

[1] http://www.arnoldfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/PSA-Risk-...

parent dzdt 9 years ago

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