"So it’s 99.5% that it occurred due to warming over the industrial era"
There are at least a couple of statistical fallacies in this conclusion. And there isn't a lack of agreement about that.
One problem with p-value tests is precisely that people misunderstand what the p-value means, which is where basic education comes in. It could save people from believing a lot of things they shouldn't. (Like many health and fitness crazes over the last generation, for instance) Or at the very least, we could train science journalists.
There are at least a couple of statistical fallacies in this conclusion. And there isn't a lack of agreement about that.
One problem with p-value tests is precisely that people misunderstand what the p-value means, which is where basic education comes in. It could save people from believing a lot of things they shouldn't. (Like many health and fitness crazes over the last generation, for instance) Or at the very least, we could train science journalists.