I think we will soon be in a situation where self driving cars are better than humans for 10% of driving scenarios(highway, gridlock commute, some parking, ...) but nearly useless in others.
I think the acceptance for half decent AI will be much lower than it is for poor human drivers, and the hardest parts of autonomous driving is still a very long way out.
That's probably fine though, if the automation can reliably discover when the environment changes. Especially since perhaps a majority of the time spent driving is in the very few "easy" scenarios.
Human drivers are probably happy to drive 10% of the commute time for the next 2-4 decades.
What this means however is that the dream of completely autonomous Ubers and transport trucks is probably much further out than some might hope.
That's probably fine though, if the automation can reliably discover when the environment changes. Especially since perhaps a majority of the time spent driving is in the very few "easy" scenarios.
Human drivers are probably happy to drive 10% of the commute time for the next 2-4 decades.
What this means however is that the dream of completely autonomous Ubers and transport trucks is probably much further out than some might hope.