> To systematically illustrate this pattern, I used various sources — news reports, reference books and archival material — to compile a data set of 105 failed ceasefires from 25 different wars.
If you filter your dataset to failed ceasefires, why would anyone expect it to show that they work?
What I think the data the author used shows is "Of the ceasefires that failed, it would have generally been better not to have had a ceasefire at all".
Which is an entirely different thing from "You shouldn't try to have ceasefires at all."
If you filter your dataset to failed ceasefires, why would anyone expect it to show that they work?
What I think the data the author used shows is "Of the ceasefires that failed, it would have generally been better not to have had a ceasefire at all".
Which is an entirely different thing from "You shouldn't try to have ceasefires at all."