> World-building for purposes of entertainment generally has little to do with successful prediction
Do you have any evidence that that's true? A decent number of ideas portrayed in science fiction have come true, so clearly successful prediction is going on.
Ultimately, economist or author are both using imagination and extrapolation. I don't see any particular reason to expect better results from the economist.
Do you have any evidence that that's true? A decent number of ideas portrayed in science fiction have come true, so clearly successful prediction is going on.
Ultimately, economist or author are both using imagination and extrapolation. I don't see any particular reason to expect better results from the economist.