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Comment by paulsutter

Fukushima was caused by shoddy planning. From a Carnegie Endowment report[1]:

  "The original design-basis tsunami for Fukushima Daiichi of 3.1 
  meters was chosen because a 1960 earthquake off the coast of 
  Chile created a tsunami of that height on the Fukushima coast."
Assuming that future tsunamis would be no higher than a recent historical tsunami is already silly. But it's worse:

  "one compilation of historical tsunamis in and around Japan lists 
  twelve events since 1498 having a maximum amplitude of more than 
  10 meters, six of which had a maximum amplitude of over 20 meters."
In 2002 they already knew the seawater pumps were located too low, but took no action:

  "Fukushima Daiichi’s design basis tsunami was estimated to have 
  a maximum height of 3.1 meters above mean sea level. Given this, 
  TEPCO decided to locate the seawater intake buildings at 4 meters 
  above sea level and the main plant buildings at the top of a 
  slope 10 meters about sea level"

  "In 2002, on the basis of a new methodology for assessing tsunami 
  safety developed by the Japan Society of Civil Engineers, TEPCO 
  voluntarily reevaluated the tsunami hazard and adopted a 
  revised design-basis tsunami height of 5.7 meters. Yet, NISA 
  neither updated the licensing documents to reflect this change 
  nor reviewed TEPCO’s analysis. Given that the revised 
  design-basis tsunami was now 1.4 meters above the seawater pumps, 
  such a review should have been conducted."
[1] http://carnegieendowment.org/files/fukushima.pdf
parent paulsutter 10 years ago

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