The "deadly valley" is very real and it won't go away. It can be sidestepped by taking human drivers out of the picture entirely.
Imagine what would be involved in doing that.
Some analysts think that trucking would be an easy foot in the door for this technology. Freeways present fewer challenges in driving. There could even be dedicated lanes for autonomous trucks. The problem is political. A lot of peoples' livelihood depends on trucking. Those people won't go quietly into the night.
Uber and Lyft want to use this technology for commercial passenger service. They've already disrupted taxis. Dropping drivers would be less of a political hurdle for them. I imagine Uber setting up driverless cars in pool routes like buses. Ride services are also the best hope for completely driver-free tech because no one is going to want to assume driving liability as a passenger.
Completely driverless is where this technology needs to go and I think that taxi/ride-service replacement is the lever. Once that works you'll see people buying cars that don't let you drive.
Imagine what would be involved in doing that.
Some analysts think that trucking would be an easy foot in the door for this technology. Freeways present fewer challenges in driving. There could even be dedicated lanes for autonomous trucks. The problem is political. A lot of peoples' livelihood depends on trucking. Those people won't go quietly into the night.
Uber and Lyft want to use this technology for commercial passenger service. They've already disrupted taxis. Dropping drivers would be less of a political hurdle for them. I imagine Uber setting up driverless cars in pool routes like buses. Ride services are also the best hope for completely driver-free tech because no one is going to want to assume driving liability as a passenger.
Completely driverless is where this technology needs to go and I think that taxi/ride-service replacement is the lever. Once that works you'll see people buying cars that don't let you drive.