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Comment by mechanical_fish

So, the author's back-of-the-envelope calculation is 10%, yours is 13% (the average of 19% and 7.2%), and your conclusion is that "the author is just plain wrong"?

What would the author's rough estimates look like if they were "in excellent agreement" with yours? Would "11%" be close enough for you, or are you holding out for "12.8% to 13.3%"?

Can I suggest that you read the Wikipedia article on "orders of approximation"? Or, better yet, "Fermi problem"?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orders_of_approximation

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_problem

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