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Comment by berberous

Nevsky Capital, a successful hedge fund, just shut down and released an interesting letter to its investors that's worth reading in full. I'm not sure about the transparency of India's stock market, but it did not have nice things to say about the quality of their economic data:

"Data releases have become much less transparent and truthful at both a macro and a micro level. At a macro level the key issue is the ever increasing importance of China and India. China is the world’s second largest economy, but already much larger than the US in a broad swathe of sectors. India will be the world’s third largest economy within a decade. Unfortunately their rise is increasing the global cost of capital because an ever growing share of the most important data they produce is simply not credible. Currently stated Chinese real GDP growth is 7.1% and India’s is 7.4%. Both are substantially over stated. This obfuscation and distortion of data, whether deliberate or inadvertent, makes it increasingly difficult to forecast macro and hence micro as well, for an ever growing share of our investment universe."

http://www.businessinsider.com/nevsky-capital-closing-letter...

parent berberous 10 years ago

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