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Comment by brownbat

FTA: 99.5% of offspring received the trait.

Anopheles females in tropical conditions take around 12 days to go from egg to adult.

So if that's true, even if you could wave a magic wand and replace the entire mosquito population with these at one time, less than half of the population will still have the trait at the five year mark.[0]

Compounding is a bastard.

Though sure, the one-time magic wand doesn't resemble how this would be rolled out, but the general point is that the more frequently some species breeds, the harder it is to mess with.

[0] 0.995^x = 0.5 -> x = 138.2 generations. 138.2 * 12 days / 365 = ~4.5 yrs.

parent brownbat 11 years ago

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