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Comment by nickff

As I understand it, the Fukushima plant was never designed or rated to sustain such a large earthquake or tsunami. If this understanding is correct, we should not have expected it to survive the damage, and the problems were not with the design, but perhaps with the specification (depending on whether you think this should have been foreseen).

It seems to be a common thread with all tragedies and disasters that people suffer from hindsight bias, and believe that this specific case should have been foreseen. It is not clear what the cost of building everything to sustain all similar low-probability events would be, and whether doing so would be statistical murder.

parent nickff 11 years ago

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